A Simple Explanation of Just How All Hell Might Break Loose.

I hate to refer you to the New York Times -- I find it to be a most bias newspaper, almost un-American and very liberal.  Nonetheless, once in a while they allow someone to write a piece that has something wise and fair and balanced to say.  This is one of those times.  So I thank them.

The Bomb and the Bomber - NYTimes.com

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Diplomats Say Iran Poised for Big Nuke Expansion

Here's the latest from the Associated Press on Iranian nuclear developments -- and the diplomats involved in providing the information are fairly confident that the only reason for these developments is to employ the products with respect to nuclear warheads. [The president meanwhile may be out golfing -- I'm only guessing.]

Seriously though sooner or later (hopefully sooner) someone will not be taking chances like the current administration in Washington is.

Some people do not want to attack Iran at all. Most westerners would agree to attack Iran if we knew 100% that they had nuclear warheads.

The problem is we may never have that privilege. As I see it there are clearly two choices when it gets to this point: "A nuclear war with Iran having nuclear warheads and its associated consequences" or a "war, perhaps nuclear, without Iran having nuclear warheads and its consequences". If you were Israel, or if you were the president of the United States, which of the two choices would you pick?

News from The Associated Press:

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If sanctions fail to move Iran, war may be inevitable.

This is not the kind of headline one wants to read these days, yet here it is even though it's the opinion of one writer from the National Post.  You can read all the details in the link below, but first I did want to point out a few things . . .

1. Will the European embargo on Iranian oil that won't start until July cause the Iranians to stop pursuing nuclear weapons? I doubt it.

2. If Japan and South Korea joins Europe and the U.S., up to 80% of Iran's operating revenue could be impacted. That's huge. But Japan and South Korea aren't there yet.

3. And if oil is cut off to Europe, then some European countries (Italy, Spain, Greece) could be in real trouble themselves -- that's why the EU embargo is being phased in very slowly -- may I say "it's oozing in".

4. In exchange, Iran is threatening to stop the oil NOW. You know, akin to a "lockout before a potential strike" in labor relations' terms. They'll do this by closing the Strait of Hormuz.

5. In steps the U.S. of A. with a potential major naval confrontation. War. Two aircraft carriers are there or close by now and a third one is on its way.

6. Alternatively, Iran could jack up its prices. That would cause NATO some troubles in Afghanistan. (But hey what does Iran care?)

7. After four rounds of UN imposed sanctions on Iran recently, the Iranians are still denying they are pursuing nuclear weapons.

8. And then of course there is a the possibility of more talks between Iran and the U.S., but if that happens, Obama will be snookered again, and we'll be no further ahead with respect to stopping Iran from getting the nuclear bombs they want.

9. Meanwhile the cyber attacks against Iran continue. And the West is trying to 'talk' and connect with the current Iranian government's opposition.

So that's the latest from Iran. Meanwhile there are rumors that PM Netanyahu of Israel is losing patience.

And if you think this is all too much to take, try keeping up to speed on all this and at the same time reading Joel Rosenberg's fiction, "The Twelth Imam".  How that's eerie.   In the middle of the night, I have trouble separating the two plots in my mind.

But God still listens to, and still answers, prayers.

Iran: If sanctions fail, war may be inevitable: Peter Goodspeed | Full Comment | National Post

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Europe Says It Can Do Without Iran's Oil

Well, well, well. It looks like sides are being formed on the issue of Iran. Europe says that if Iran stops selling it oil as a payback to any sanctions the West imposes on it -- well, Europoe will get their oil elsewhere -- maybe from the other OPEC countries; maybe from Canada???

Apparently the U.S. stopped buying Iranian crude in the 1990's. But elsewhere, a number are not so quick to write off their need for Iranian oil -- the U.K. being one such party.

But Europe doesn't have to worry as the sanctions the rest of the West is imposing aren't going to hurt Iran enough for it to take any such action to withdraw its oil from certain markets.

Bottom line is that Iran says it does not need neither the U.S. or the European markets. There's enough other buyers out there.

What we're noticing here is positioning, positioning, positioning. But let's not forget sanctions won't work on Iran -- they'll do whatever it takes to keep pursuing their goal of Nuclear weapons. The sooner we realize that only true military force or the threat of force is the only way to treat this spoiled brat, the sooner she will be eliminated as a threat to world peace.

Newt Gingrich was right last night during the Foreign Policy GOP debate when he said that the goal in Iran must not just be to eliminate it's nuclear development sites, but rather to eliminate the current regime.

Here are the details if you still have the heart to read more. . .

EU: Iran oil embargo wouldn't hu... JPost - Iranian Threat - News

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More Indication Israeli IDF Will Move Into Gaza To Stop Rocket Fire

There's Iran and its nuclear arms development to worry about, but Israel is also concerned about the rockets coming from the Gaza Strip. So, watch out. There may be more lights in the sky this Christmas than the stars on the festive trees of any Christians in the area. Things are getting hotter and all indications are the military forces will be seeing some actions. The implications can be significant.

'IDF will launch Gaza offensive if rockets con... JPost - Defense

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Iran Will Use Oil As Bargaining Chip on Nuclear Issue if It Has To

Wake up Mr. Obama and smell the rotten eggs that Iran has been throwing you for several moths now. Here's another one. When they want to win an argument, they don't count any losses except the last one -- and they expect to win that one. So anything goes.

They're lying to you on Nuclear Development, on Israel, on Islam, and now on oil. But that's okay, you keep pretending you don't hear, see, smell anything. Maybe you'll miss seeing the rotten eggs next November as well, until they hit you. Let's hope so.

If this warning by Iran is not enough for you to change your policy (or non-policy) on America's energy plan, I don't know what is.

Iran says it may use oil as poli... JPost - Iranian Threat - News

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Just When You Thought the Nuclear Thing Was About Iran, Now the UN wants to help Syria go Nulcear too.

Unbelievable blindness and stupidity -- unless of course you realize that the UN is really part of the problem and in sympathy with Radical Islamist Terrorists. Enemy No. 1 is Iran and Enemy No. 1's best friend is our Enemy No. 2 -- Syria. So, the UN now wants a program that will help Syria get a nuclear development site (again) in Syria. Even though one had to leveled to the ground recently because Syria was pursuing "developments" that were conducive to nuclear weapons. But hey that was in the past. They're all good people now with good and honorable intentions now.. Or so the UN thinks. Wrong.

Meanwhile Iran is getting all the support it needs towards its goal of eliminating Israel off the face of the earth. Why if they are patient enough they'll be able to attack Israel both from Iran and from Syria with all the nuclear weapons they'll need. All thanks to both the UN and the gutless west.

Here's the story. Read it for yourself and see if I missed something.

US concerned about UN nuclear work with Sy... JPost - Middle East

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China & Russia Unconcerned About Iran's Nuclear Development. That's a problem.

Here's the skinny on this story of Iran and its nuclear development. China and Russia are both not interested in toughened sanctions against Iran -- they'll likely veto them at the U.N. Security Council.

But White House staff still blindly believe these two big superpowers are on side. I suggest they better think again. China and Russia are not going to go with a waning star like America if we're all going to get entangled in a nuclear war. They see the rising star of Islam much clearer than the rest of us.

But in this story, you'll also see an interesting quote from Mitt Romney. Basically, he is saying, re-elect Obama and Iran gets the nuclear. Elect Romney and Iran will not have a nuclear bomb. It's that simple. But if it's true, it may also be the difference between war and peace -- if you're carefully reading between the lines and doing some "thinking out the possibilities" exercises. Take a look.

Obama gets no backup from China, Russia in Iran nuke concerns - The Globe and Mail

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Intelligence Sources Say Israel May Strike Iran By Christmas.

Here from the Daily Mail in the U.K. is the latest public intelligence on what is going on between Israel and Iran on the latter's pursuit of nuclear arms. What is interesting once again is the naivete of some politicians. Take a look half way down the article for the "stupidity" of U.K. sources on the matter. Basically while they would prefer Iran not pursue nuclear arms, they don't believe for a moment they would ever use them. Yes, and Santa Claus is going down their chimney for sure this Christmas. I am slowly coming to the conclusion that politicians, for the most part, no, make that the major part (whichever is greater) are a bunch of people who lack average intelligence found in many of the rest of us.

UN report: Iran IS trying to build nuclear bomb warns William Hague | Mail Online

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Israel Waits To See If The World Will Get Tough on Iran now. If not, She Will LIkely Go It Alone.

This link gives you a detailed analysis of all the options currently open to Israel. Her best choice at the moment is to give the West a chance, but only for a limited time. Find out why.

Security and Defense: Playin... JPost - Features - Week in review


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When You Don't Like What An International Report Says . . .

Well, you can do three things. First, you can deny, deny, deny. Secondly, you tell the world the report is flawed, flawed, flawed. And thirdly, you can tell us the group involved has no credibility whatsoever. That is exactly what Iran is doing with this week's much published report by the International Atomic Energy Association's (IAEA's) report on the development of nuclear weapons in Iran. Take a look. What really matters more is how much credence we will put in the words of Iran.

IAEA, Iran spar over military di... JPost - Iranian Threat - News


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Israel Will Have To Go It Alone . . . or Will She?

I've read several articles lately on the Nuclear Arms issue involving Iran.  Let me cut to the chase for you.  Both Russia and the U.S. have warned Israel that attacking Iran would be a "very serious mistake" or that what would follow are "unpredictable consequences".  Just heard today that the U.K. are abstaining on the vote at the U.N. security council when it comes to the Palestinian membership and statehood issue.  Thanks Cameron, mighty British of you old chap.  And France is not a friend of Israel's given what their President recently was overheard calling Mr. Netanyahu.

By the way, if you missed it, Sarkozy called him a "liar".   So much for that international relationship.   Obama, in reply, implied Sarkozy should be thankful he doesn't have to deal with him -- Netanyahu -- as much as Obama does.   If it weren't for an upcoming presidential election to ensure his second term, I'm sure Obama would have gone as far as Sarkozy, if not further, in his criticism of Israel's leadership.  And it all makes sense from their point of view.  Israel is proving to be uncooperative in making Obama a hero.  But there's good reason for that.

While the world may see the pursuit of Middle East peace as still another war that needs to be settled, so life can go on; to Israel and to a certain extent, the Palestinians, it is much more.  But back to Iran.

The choices are simple:
1.  Do nothing.  Iran proceeds to acquire nuclear arms (capable of attacking Israel and elsewhere).
2.  Continue with sanctions as per current.  Iran proceeds to acquire nuclear arms.
3.  Increase sanctions but without Russia's cooperation as she has indicated she's not prepared to do so.  Iran proceeds to acquire nuclear arms.
4.  Israel attacks Iran's nuclear development sites by herself.  The Middle East becomes a war zone and then what happens is indeed unpredictable.  Iran proceeds to acquire nuclear arms (but it takes much  longer.)
5.  Israel and the United States and other Western countries get behind Israel and together they attack Iran and defeat its anti-Semitic government along with destroying its nuclear development sites.  Iran decides the pursuit of nuclear arms is not in its best interests.

Of course, the consequences and costs associated with any of these positions -- financially speaking, politically speaking, internationally-speaking, and most importantly in terms of human life and displacement and suffering, are indeed, colossal.

If you look at the five choices closely, you see they really break down into two groups:  The first three where there is no attack on Iran in an attempt to stop or greatly delay her progress to attain nuclear arms and the last two where a military effort is made to deter her progress and even stop it.

Clearly for many the risks of attacking are too high.  And I would agree.  However, the risks of not attacking are also great.  They may even be greater than the risks we had during the Cold War with Russia.  Why?  Because while Russians of the day had a desire to conquer us, they had a greater desire to survive themselves.  Radical Islamists have no such restraint.  It would be a bonus for them if they could die while pursuing jihad on the Americans and the Jews and the West.  Like Samson of the Bible they are prepared to go down with the destruction of the 'temple to a foreign god' in their desire to meet up with the virgins they've been promised.

To that add the fact that at least one leader in Iran (Ahmadinejad) is a wild card, to put it mildly, and you can see a potentially much greater risk if and when Iran does attain nuclear arms.  So what will we have then?  Well, to begin with start with radical fanaticism that wants to take over the world, coupled with a desire to erase an entire race (the Jewish one) from the face of the earth (not to mention Americans), add a crazy man, and a heavy dose of erroneous religious zeal, stir in the promise of the awaiting young virgins upon dying as a Muslim martyr, and top it off with the availability of nuclear weapons.   You were asking what do you have?   Well, as a minimum, you'll be a lot closer to Armageddon.  As a maximum, you'll have nothing --  because you won't exist.

Rethinking the situation, options 4 and 5 make some sense.  There's no political will or guts for option 5.  You're left with option 4 -- Israel goes it alone, again.   But I venture to say "she is not alone".  And as trite as it may sound, the fact remains that Jehovah- who has, for the people of the Book, always had all these names below, is STILL with them:

ELOHIM......Genesis 1:1, Psalm 19:1

meaning "God", a reference to God's power and might.

ADONAI......Malachi 1:6

meaning "Lord", a reference to the Lordship of God.

JEHOVAH--YAHWEH.....Genesis 2:4

a reference to God's divine salvation.

JEHOVAH-MACCADDESHEM.......Exodus 31:13

meaning "The Lord thy sanctifier"

JEHOVAH-ROHI......Psalm 23:1

meaning "The Lord my shepherd"

JEHOVAH-SHAMMAH.......Ezekiel 48:35

meaning "The Lord who is present"

JEHOVAH-RAPHA.........Exodus 15:26

meaning "The Lord our healer"

JEHOVAH-TSIDKENU......Jeremiah 23:6

meaning "The Lord our righteousness"

JEHOVAH-JIREH.........Genesis 22:13-14

meaning "The Lord will provide"

JEHOVAH-NISSI.........Exodus 17:15

meaning "The Lord our banner"

JEHOVAH-SHALOM........Judges 6:24

meaning "The Lord is peace"

JEHOVAH-SABBAOTH......Isaiah 6:1-3

meaning "The Lord of Hosts"

JEHOVAH-GMOLAH........Jeremiah 51:6

meaning "The God of Recompense"

EL-ELYON..............Genesis 14:17-20,Isaiah 14:13-14

meaning "The most high God

EL-ROI................Genesis 16:13

meaning "The strong one who sees"

EL-SHADDAI............Genesis 17:1,Psalm 91:1

meaning "The God of the mountains or God Almighty"

EL-OLAM...............Isaiah 40:28-31

meaning "The everlasting God".

 

Suffice it to say, He's watching this with great interest and amusement. After all, they are His Chosen People.

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Remember When We Ued to Say, "If Iran Goes Nuclear"? Well, those days are gone.

Here is the latest account on Iran's Nuclear capabilities and it's a very good analysis. Bottom line is that Iran can now deploy a nuclear bomb in just eight weeks from the time it says it wants to. And by the end of 2012, that time requirement will be cut in half. So much for sanctions. Got any other ideas you western leaders?

Here are the details:

No More Hypotheticals: Iran Already Is A Nuclear State | The New Republic

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Why No One May Be "Touching" Syria These Days

According to the article in the link below, Syria may be safe from the action of the U.S. and others because of Israel and Iran. There is fear that Syria's ruler could take his vengeance out on Israel, a country with which Syria shares a border (Libya does not share a border with Israel). Also, with Iran's strength and potential nuclear capabilities growing, and its ally relationship with Syria, no one is willing to take a chance on ticking Iran off at this point.

In my opinion, those are two reasons as to why exactly some action to eliminate Assad should be taken sooner rather than later. In fact, every one is in agreement that his days, like Gaddafi's, are numbered given that he has already killed 1,500 of his own people.  So, why give Assad more time to think about how he will attack Israel?  Why give Iran more time to get all their nuclear arms arsenal in place when they will wield even more clout and fear?

Read the article and see if you can come up with more of the thinking of the West, between the lines.

Could Assad vent his wrath on Israel? - JPost - Defense

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Wait. Isn't this Deja-vu? Russia may want an arms race.

Isn't this where I came in several decades ago?  Remember the days of Mr. Nikita K. and his shoe at the United Nations.  Well, we may be heading there again if we're not careful.  --  The "we" here is politely translated to men NATO and the U.S., specifically the latter.

And if you read the article I've linked to carefully, you'll once again see that the problem is that these days America, through its un-fierceless leader (I know, that's a double-negative if anything but I couldn't find a nicer description if I tried), is only involved in "talk, talk, talk."  And others are noticing and they won't wait for his non-forthcoming action.

I'm not so sure that it was going to be Mr. N. Khrushchev that was going to bury us with his shoe (or other means at his disposable at that time) as much as it may be B.O. with his lack of vision and passion for the country he formally leads, a country to which up to now, the free world has looked up to but no longer does.

But then again, those are my thoughts.  Perhaps you'll come to a different conclusion as you read the article in the attached link.

Russia may develop nuclear offensive, arms race - Serdyukov | World | RIA Novosti
 

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When It Comes to Nuclear Arms, Since We Can't Control Iran, Let's Try Syria

Earlier today epistoli blogged on the West's failure to take any meaningful action against Iran's nuclear weapon programs and how time has basically run out. Well, I just found this article that shows we're now trying to get the UN to sanction Syria on the very same thing. I guess if at first you don't succeed, just switch to another opponent and try your luck there.

This is unbelievable. But we're sticking to our strategic plan of "talk, talk, talk."  And by the way, did you notice that the country pursuing nuclear arms are all peace-loving, non-aggressive, democratic, and tolerant of all people type of nations?  Oh, you didn't notice that.  Gee, and we thought it was so obvious.  Maybe not.

Syria may face UN nuclear sanctions - World - CBC News

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Big Talk, No Action, Time Running Out

Yesterday epistoli blogged on all the "talk, talk, talk" that B.O. and his friend Angela Merkel were doing on a myriad of international issues. Talk that nobody was really listening to, and those that heard it laughed out loud.

Today we bring you a story that shows you how futile talk sometimes is, especially in certain situations, Iran being one of them. Two special and credible reports now indicate that Iran may be just two months away from having the bomb. There's no stopping them.

The problem is that the article we've linked to simply suggests that the U.S. now just change their "talk, talk, talk" focus to persuade them not to use it. Really? How profound.

But don't miss the point, "talk" will get you nowhere with these foes. And oh, in case you missed it, when these enemies are concerned about others -- they don't talk, they act. And that's why they and their "convenient ideology of Islam" is slowly taking over the world.

America, Germany, and the rest of the free world, IT'S TIME TO STOP TALKING and START ACTING!

Goodspeed: Iran may be two months from bomb, two new studies say | Full Comment | National Post
 

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While Egypt, Libya, etc. Burn, Iran is Building Up Nuclear Capability

Okay, now we have the U.N. coming up with evidence that Iran is not co-operating. What's next? Do we have to have the Iranians blow someone up before we believe they have ill-intentions?

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UN says it has new info on alleged Iran nuclear arms

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Russia Approves Arms Treaty with some Caveats

Just when you think you're safe . . . the fine print may say otherwise. Russians and the Americans not on the same page with all aspects of missile defense. Take a look.

Russia Approves Arms Treaty - NYTimes.com

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Iran Nuclear Talks End -- No progress. Duh!

Did you really think otherwise? Iran is pushing ahead or so it says. They are waiting to be stopped if any dares. No one does. Iranian leaders have no consideration for their people if a war does break out in my opinion. They have ignored requested of states and the United Nations without consequences. The IAEA is not coming out hard on them. So, they'll keep on marching.

The issue boils down to this: do they have a right to pursue Nuclear Power and Arms? Why not? However, if the world feels they'll misuse it, then it is up to the 'world' (whoever that is) to stop them -- now, before it's too late. Of course, we can all sit by and let Israel be the culprit for doing so.

Iran talks end without agreement - Middle East - Al Jazeera English

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